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the latest ten-day poll average from "real clear politics" shows president obama with nearly a five-point lead. iowa voters were out in full force starting at 7:00 this morning. one election commissioner said this could be a record-breaking year. >> this was by far the busiest opening day we've had in the ten years i've been in the office. we were thinking 100 people. 100 would have been a good number. that's what it was four years ago. we're well past that. we're not to noon yet. >> look at the early voting numbers from 2008 to see how big a record breaker it could be this year. 2008, 33% of all ballots were cast before election day. early voting favored barack obama over john mccain by 18 points. 58% to 40%. this year, 27 states and washington, d.c., will have early in-person voting prior to election day. the campaigns are estimating an early voting participation at around 40% this year. two out of every five ballots will be filled out before november 6th in this election cycle. today is truly the beginning of the end of the presidential election. but one candidate is in much better pos
the latest ten-day poll average from "real clear politics" shows president obama with nearly a five-point lead. iowa voters were out in full force starting at 7:00 this morning. one election commissioner said this could be a record-breaking year. >> this was by far the busiest opening day we've had in the ten years i've been in the office. we were thinking 100 people. 100 would have been a good number. that's what it was four years ago. we're well past that. we're not to noon...
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Sep 28, 2012
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street journal"/marist poll, president obama has a slight lead in nevada and north carolina but basically within the margin of error. and in virginia, a new poll from suffolk university/nbc 12 puts obama slightly ahead of romney, also within the margin of error. so, how can romney turn it around? it may not be easy. some people within this romney campaign have concluded he's not actually a very good politician. here's what one romney official explained to politico. he said -- now romney's former rival newt gingrich doesn't go quite that far, but he says that romney needs to reform his thinking. >> i think they're only now beginning to come to grips with the general election. they had a very -- >> scary -- >> they had a very successful primary strategy. in a primary you can raise enough money to build a motor boat and drive to where you want to get to in the primary. in the general election you're like a sail boat. the system is so much bigger than you. >> it is hard to go from a motor boat to a sail boat, known who is familiar with yachting knows that. ben smith, i want to go right to you
street journal"/marist poll, president obama has a slight lead in nevada and north carolina but basically within the margin of error. and in virginia, a new poll from suffolk university/nbc 12 puts obama slightly ahead of romney, also within the margin of error. so, how can romney turn it around? it may not be easy. some people within this romney campaign have concluded he's not actually a very good politician. here's what one romney official explained to politico. he said -- now romney's...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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polls for the obama campaign, do they show it like gallup, like cnn or tighter like rassmusen? >> well, we're -- >> come on. >> we're not focused internally or externally on the national polls. we're focused on seven to nine states, as i'm sure the romney team is as well. some, we're close, some we have more of a lead on. but it doesn't matter because we have 38 days to go and we need our supporters to turn out. it doesn't matter unless they cast their vote. so that's what our focus is is now. turning people out. it's already game day. already voting is happening and we need to keep our focus on november 6th. >> so, matt, what is it really about? i keep hearing, people are talking about getting the base out and that it comes down to the base. we had on one of the preachers saying it's all about the base. mitt romney needs to get the base out, but you said no, it's about those independents. those people who aren't on either side. am i saying too much to say you're saying it's not about the base? >> no, i just think people sometimes get confused with elections. they try to act li
polls for the obama campaign, do they show it like gallup, like cnn or tighter like rassmusen? >> well, we're -- >> come on. >> we're not focused internally or externally on the national polls. we're focused on seven to nine states, as i'm sure the romney team is as well. some, we're close, some we have more of a lead on. but it doesn't matter because we have 38 days to go and we need our supporters to turn out. it doesn't matter unless they cast their vote. so that's what our...
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Sep 28, 2012
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brand-new nbc news/"wall street journal" mariss poll shows president obama with a seven-point lead in new hampshire, two-point leads in nevada and north carolina. virginia could be the bellwether. both the president and mitt romney campaigned there yesterday, and the latest poll shows the president with with a slight edge. let me bring in perry bacon and susan. good to see both of you. good morning. >> good morning. >> i'm sure you saw what charles cr krauthhammer wrote this morning. make the case and go large. it might just work and it's not too late. what do you think, susan? does mitt romney need to take risks and go big? >> one thing is for sure. the debate this week in denver
brand-new nbc news/"wall street journal" mariss poll shows president obama with a seven-point lead in new hampshire, two-point leads in nevada and north carolina. virginia could be the bellwether. both the president and mitt romney campaigned there yesterday, and the latest poll shows the president with with a slight edge. let me bring in perry bacon and susan. good to see both of you. good morning. >> good morning. >> i'm sure you saw what charles cr krauthhammer wrote...
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Sep 28, 2012
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new suffolk university poll showing president obama in virginia up by two points. al brand new nbc/"wall street journal" marist polling on tee othesw stas sng idobin na up by two. showing president obama in new hampshire up by seven. and showing president obama in north carolina also up by two. because early voting has already started in a majority of sng states, and in a majority of states, period, it'sot just a getxcited ce elon i upon us. really,serious seriously. get excited. it's upon us. it's already started. you can tell it's already started is in part because we're in the triage perd ofhel . tif elonr en people who are spending money in hopes of effecting the election's outcome start cutting their losses, ledgi hedging the and use their money instead in places they think it will make a difference. "the hill" newspaper reporting this week the republican party's house cpa cttee hadot tesd aeor a handful of incumbent republican congressmen. a sign that, quote, congressmen in question -- canceledwo weeks of its schuledd fo n cin democratic incumbent seen as vul
new suffolk university poll showing president obama in virginia up by two points. al brand new nbc/"wall street journal" marist polling on tee othesw stas sng idobin na up by two. showing president obama in new hampshire up by seven. and showing president obama in north carolina also up by two. because early voting has already started in a majority of sng states, and in a majority of states, period, it'sot just a getxcited ce elon i upon us. really,serious seriously. get excited. it's...
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nine states, nine polls, nine leads for president obama ahead of the first debate next week. we breakdown the newest numbers facing the romney campaign in the battleground states. controversy in one of those key states, and where else but florida where allegations of voter registration fraud hit a company hired by the republican national committee. could it have happened in any other battleground? >>> and saying so long to the senate, jon kyl sits down for the latest installment in on-going conversations with senators that are saying farewell. see what he says about george w. bush and john mccain. this is "the daily rundown." i am chuck todd. let's get to the first reads of the morning. in the last two weeks, we polled in nine battleground states deciding the election. ohio, florida, virginia, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, north carolina, nevada, new hampshire. bad news for mitt romney, he doesn't lead in a single one. at best within the poll's margin of error. at worst, trails by eight points. this morning, how the nine states stack up. we said it again and again. the president
nine states, nine polls, nine leads for president obama ahead of the first debate next week. we breakdown the newest numbers facing the romney campaign in the battleground states. controversy in one of those key states, and where else but florida where allegations of voter registration fraud hit a company hired by the republican national committee. could it have happened in any other battleground? >>> and saying so long to the senate, jon kyl sits down for the latest installment in...
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Sep 26, 2012
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president obama is up pretty substantially in a number of polls. women voters critically important. i think it puts the gop in a tough spot because here you have a guy who's defending the concept of legitimate rain or forceable rape as part of the that puts the party on defense when it comes to women voter vo. >> karen, think back. when you saw the latest poll up by ten points, are you smiling from ear to ear or what? >> you know what? i'm going tell you something. when i was at the dnc then and now i would be very concerned simile because you can't take anything for granted. i'm concern thad the president be outside of the margin of error in terms of his lead because i don't underestimate karl rove to steal the election. the tay party vote challenging students in ohio simile because they didn't put their dorm room number on their registrations. those kids are being subpoenaed to go to court. those are the kind of tactics we're starting to see. >> both sides, both candidates will be speaking in ohio later today in our 1:00 hour here on msnbc. and president obama is doing poorly with
president obama is up pretty substantially in a number of polls. women voters critically important. i think it puts the gop in a tough spot because here you have a guy who's defending the concept of legitimate rain or forceable rape as part of the that puts the party on defense when it comes to women voter vo. >> karen, think back. when you saw the latest poll up by ten points, are you smiling from ear to ear or what? >> you know what? i'm going tell you something. when i was at the...
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Sep 26, 2012
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there's a reason president obama is ahead in the last 20 national polls. there'a reason he's up by eiin lt hin post" poll in ohio. his campaign is doing more and whichever way you skint at the data, president obama is winning his effort at reelection. now is when you see the signs of ere kiofit desperation. there's the aboveground december separation, inventing a whole new polling method wherebyour guy wins all the time instead of ng timcaev fox news is inn the conspiracy to make it look like obama is winning, that's aboveground desperation. at least it's happening in the light of day where everybody can see it. here's what's happening a little below the surface on the right. this is what underground political desperation looks like 41ays before the election when the republican candidate is clearly losing. this is a web ad just been asy nsti outside group accusing president obama of being in bed with the muslim brotherhood, which by the way, is trying to take over america. the group skponl for this ad says it's part of a $7 million online ad buy. $7illi, w
there's a reason president obama is ahead in the last 20 national polls. there'a reason he's up by eiin lt hin post" poll in ohio. his campaign is doing more and whichever way you skint at the data, president obama is winning his effort at reelection. now is when you see the signs of ere kiofit desperation. there's the aboveground december separation, inventing a whole new polling method wherebyour guy wins all the time instead of ng timcaev fox news is inn the conspiracy to make it look...
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new suffolk university poll showing president obama in rginia up by two points. also brand new nbc/"wall street journal" marist polling on three other swing states showing president obama in nevada up by owprenam n hampshire up by seven. and showing president obama in north carolina also up by two. because early voting has already started in a majority of swing states, and in a majity of states, period, it's not just a get excited cliche now to say election day is upon us. really, seously. geci it's upon us. it's already started. you can tell it's already started is in part because we're in the triage period of the call pain. the time of the election year when people who are spending nein hopes of effecting the eltion outme srt cng r esgi their bets and use their money instead in places they think it will make a difference. "the hill" newspaper reporting this week the republican party's house campaign committee had not yet served any ad time for a hal ncntubn congressmen. a sign that, quote, congressmen in question -- canceled two weeks of its scheduled ad buy fo
new suffolk university poll showing president obama in rginia up by two points. also brand new nbc/"wall street journal" marist polling on three other swing states showing president obama in nevada up by owprenam n hampshire up by seven. and showing president obama in north carolina also up by two. because early voting has already started in a majority of swing states, and in a majity of states, period, it's not just a get excited cliche now to say election day is upon us. really,...
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Oct 3, 2012
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>>guest: i think that virginia is a toss up state right now notwithstanding the polls. people will say one thing and do another. many people will be voting for obama would will say to pollsters that they vote for obama. the issue is, whether they will be exercised and excited to town out for obama, the same degree of excitement is not prevalent. >>neil: you are not in the camp that there is a "fix" in the polls but you think they can be skewed? >>guest: i don't rely on the polls. i talk to pundits around the country and the state i can tell you that many of them believe that if the election were hold today the likelihood would be that romney would not be the winner. on the other hand, they would tell you that in the percentage of error of plus or minus three or four, this state is still considered by many to be a toss up. i consider it a toss up state. >>neil: we shall see, governor. always a pleasure. the president has arrived. the airport is a long way from here. about four four loco -- four hours from here. so fast and smooth, you'll forget you had heartburn. ♪ tum
>>guest: i think that virginia is a toss up state right now notwithstanding the polls. people will say one thing and do another. many people will be voting for obama would will say to pollsters that they vote for obama. the issue is, whether they will be exercised and excited to town out for obama, the same degree of excitement is not prevalent. >>neil: you are not in the camp that there is a "fix" in the polls but you think they can be skewed? >>guest: i don't rely...
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Sep 26, 2012
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but 20 straight national polls showg president obama ahead. that's what you call a tren no wernoatnd i depressing to republicans or whether it fires them up to try to do better for their candidate, honestly the wisdom is that one of the most consequential things that can haen because of polling like thrks one of the the things that lling can cause is that it can have a fatal affect on fundraising. it's interesting. politico.com had a big picture review of the romney campaign struggl struggles. it includedsceve sith published it. quote, to get a flavor of the challenge before them, one top donor said that after mitt romney spoke at a fundraising breakfast on friday, a will-mitt n who paid to attend that o fundraiser. so at their table of ten men, they asked each other, will mitt win? of the ten men, not a single man said yes. of ten active mitromney supporters were actely or hthat moment with their money, zero said he will n. and they admit to that at the fundraiser. that's not a phenomenon that can last a super long time. you don't get to sit
but 20 straight national polls showg president obama ahead. that's what you call a tren no wernoatnd i depressing to republicans or whether it fires them up to try to do better for their candidate, honestly the wisdom is that one of the most consequential things that can haen because of polling like thrks one of the the things that lling can cause is that it can have a fatal affect on fundraising. it's interesting. politico.com had a big picture review of the romney campaign struggl struggles....
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obama won each debate by double digits accor according to gallup polling and won by by 33 points. the president's team expected romney to be well prepared, playing up advantages for romney. debate and the first debate, favor challengers. >> senior romney a visor offered the g.o.p. debate spin in a memo to reporters -- regardless of who comes out on the top in the debate we amount afford another four years on the last four years. >> make a decision on what they believe is in the best interest of the country and their family. i expect to describe it in a way people understand. if i do, i get elected. >> romney spends the weekend in boston and flies to denver on monday. he has no public campaign activities planned. it's all private for the face-off. important of how important romney thinks it will be. >> bret: okay. see you in colorado. virginia base strategic allied consulting accused to submitting 100 questionable registration in seven countie counties. spokesperson says it's trying to find out how broad the scope of the problem is. the company says the form came from one person wh
obama won each debate by double digits accor according to gallup polling and won by by 33 points. the president's team expected romney to be well prepared, playing up advantages for romney. debate and the first debate, favor challengers. >> senior romney a visor offered the g.o.p. debate spin in a memo to reporters -- regardless of who comes out on the top in the debate we amount afford another four years on the last four years. >> make a decision on what they believe is in the best...
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Oct 1, 2012
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the man that made it happened elected in 2010, and what he makes of the polls that show president obama is benefiting from all your hard work. >>guest: my daughter and my wife took belly dancing so that was fund -- fun to watch. here is what is happening. the race will come down to one thing, if governor romney explains that his plan to get jobs going is no different than my race in 2010. all i talked about what i would do to turn the economy around. it worked. unemployment has dropped faster than any other state. down 2.3 percent. last month, we were second to texas in job creation. my competition is governor perry. if he talks jobs, governor romney, he will do well. that is the biggest issue in our country. clearly, it is an issue in florida. we have done well but we still have people unemployed. a lot better than what we were but we still have a lot of work. >>neil: you reminded me at the convention and other times we have chatted, polls are fleeting and fickle. but it is interesting to me that in some of the states, swing states, the president made inroads and it could change over n
the man that made it happened elected in 2010, and what he makes of the polls that show president obama is benefiting from all your hard work. >>guest: my daughter and my wife took belly dancing so that was fund -- fun to watch. here is what is happening. the race will come down to one thing, if governor romney explains that his plan to get jobs going is no different than my race in 2010. all i talked about what i would do to turn the economy around. it worked. unemployment has dropped...
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another poll from the last ten days show it is a one-point race but obama has extended the lead in thible average to four points. with the latest round swing state polling it looks like the race has tipped in his direction for the time being. >>neil: could we have a split view of this, a 2000 deal where the popular vote going one way, and that is tight. again, this depends on the poll. the swing state polls, then, not nearly so tight, for now? i stress, for now. could you see that as a possibility? >>guest: not at the moment. look, that is always a possible. if the race -- it is the fundamental of this race that are reasserted and it tightens to the end which most people expect it to do, we could see a lot the swing states getting in position where you can create scenarios where you can end up with an electoral tie or something very close along those lines. right now, though, for the moment, the race looks like mitt romney is slipping and obama is in front. >>neil: i was talking about an easy electoral win to the president if you buy the polls, and i don't, but the popular vote is tight.
another poll from the last ten days show it is a one-point race but obama has extended the lead in thible average to four points. with the latest round swing state polling it looks like the race has tipped in his direction for the time being. >>neil: could we have a split view of this, a 2000 deal where the popular vote going one way, and that is tight. again, this depends on the poll. the swing state polls, then, not nearly so tight, for now? i stress, for now. could you see that as a...
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Sep 25, 2012
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the polls go up,olls go down, then in some weeks i'm ahead. somekshi yo, all these states that voted for barack obama last night right now, the majority of people in those states are saying they don't want to volt for barack obama. >> meanwhile, the president in new york city for the general assembly. one of his first order, taping an interview with the the ls "view." among his opponent's tax returns. >> he was asked does he think it's fair that he pays a lower tax rate than somebody making $50,000 a year and hesaid, yes, ink it' faind also think that's the way you get economic growth. >> i just got a different vision about how we grow an economy. i think, barbara, you grow an economy from the middle out, not from the top down. >> it wasn't just the president talking about taxes. secretary inton alsei inue ding a speech at the clinton global initiative. >> one of the issues that i have been preaching about around the world is collecting taxes i an omhe elite in every country. you know, i'm out of american politics but -- [ applause ] >> -- it
the polls go up,olls go down, then in some weeks i'm ahead. somekshi yo, all these states that voted for barack obama last night right now, the majority of people in those states are saying they don't want to volt for barack obama. >> meanwhile, the president in new york city for the general assembly. one of his first order, taping an interview with the the ls "view." among his opponent's tax returns. >> he was asked does he think it's fair that he pays a lower tax rate...
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"times" poll has obama up by 10 over romney. 53%, 43%. however, in the rasmussen daily tracking poll, the national survey, the race is tied. a dead heat 46% 46%. on this day four years ago, rasmussen had mr. obama up by 5 points over john mccain. 50%, 45%. a case could be made that mitt romney is doing better than john mccain did. but that might be misleading. the presidential race is going to come down to just a handful of states ohio and florida being the most important governor romney plus win in both places that's why today's polling news is causing controversy. talking points has said from the very beginning that the debates this year will be the deciding factor one week from tonight in denver, colorado, the president will meet the governor at :00 p.m. eastern time. no question and all the polls show this that most americans are not happy with president obama's leadership, especially on the economy. many of the folks don't trust mitt romney. however, if the governor can do what ronald reagan did in 1980, that is keep the incumbent pr
"times" poll has obama up by 10 over romney. 53%, 43%. however, in the rasmussen daily tracking poll, the national survey, the race is tied. a dead heat 46% 46%. on this day four years ago, rasmussen had mr. obama up by 5 points over john mccain. 50%, 45%. a case could be made that mitt romney is doing better than john mccain did. but that might be misleading. the presidential race is going to come down to just a handful of states ohio and florida being the most important governor...
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case in point, the latest new york times/abc news poll giving president obama a ten-point lead in ohio. the fourth poll to give the incumbent a wide advantage in the state. and enough for abc news to move the state's crucial 18 electoral votes out of battleground staters to lean obama. and as we now know the devil's in the details with romney failing to make the sale on almost any issue, including the economy where he's at a six-point deficit to the president. six points on the economy? oh, my ohio. mitt romney knows that's trouble. and in a brand new ad one reason is clear, as romney plays face the camera doing his best damage control over that 47% video. >> president obama and i both care about poor and middle class families. the difference is my policies will make things better for them. >> and, cut. very good. that was marginally convincing. maybe a little more -- tell you what here's an example of a politician speaking this afternoon in bowling green with genuine authenticity and commitment. >> my opponent may think it's fair that someone who makes $20 million a year like he does
case in point, the latest new york times/abc news poll giving president obama a ten-point lead in ohio. the fourth poll to give the incumbent a wide advantage in the state. and enough for abc news to move the state's crucial 18 electoral votes out of battleground staters to lean obama. and as we now know the devil's in the details with romney failing to make the sale on almost any issue, including the economy where he's at a six-point deficit to the president. six points on the economy? oh, my...
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. >> president obama and i both care about t poor and middle class families. >> we have brand new polling out ismorng. tewls out today. >> three separate swing states. >> show voters trend ago way from him. >> barack obama is a little bit ahead at this time. >> because the closer we get to the election, the dumber mitt romney appears to be getting. >> there'so queion wve maou mistakes. >> time that cruel cruel mistress is slipping away. >> you may have noticed there's an election going on here in oh, i don't see a lot of victims. i see har workingohioans. >> we can't afford four more years like the last four years. >> how many times canou visit the state of ohio before they get tired of seeing you. >> the president makes his 29th trip. >> if we win ohio, we'll w this ection. >> if we winoh w w t election. >> governor romney has logged 17 trips. >> no republican in history has won the presidency without ohio. >> romney, ryan. >> oh, sweetjesus. ob make no miake,io >> so you're a big romney supporter. >> if we don't run chris christie, romney will be the nominee and will lose. i get the las
. >> president obama and i both care about t poor and middle class families. >> we have brand new polling out ismorng. tewls out today. >> three separate swing states. >> show voters trend ago way from him. >> barack obama is a little bit ahead at this time. >> because the closer we get to the election, the dumber mitt romney appears to be getting. >> there'so queion wve maou mistakes. >> time that cruel cruel mistress is slipping away. >>...
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and according to a new bloomberg poll, president obama leads by 6 points. tonight nate silver fraufts that on november 6, president obama will opinion 316 votes and mitt romney will within 222. and president obama's chance of winning the election is at 81.9%. the highest of this campaign cycle. joy reid, i will bet you $10,000 that we are going to see a piece of that secret tape, about the 47% in most of the obama and team obama campaign ads for the rest of the way. >> it is going to be on an endless loop from now until election day. that is for sure because it's so effective. in a way democrats should thank him. he ripped the veil off something like 30 years republican fooling working class people into thinking you know what? we may be the party of management and the democrats are the party of labor but we really get you. he's showing they don't not only get working class people they don't seem to like them very much. i think mitt romney is like the guy who has to show up at a dinner party after being overheard insulting half the guests. a lot of people in
and according to a new bloomberg poll, president obama leads by 6 points. tonight nate silver fraufts that on november 6, president obama will opinion 316 votes and mitt romney will within 222. and president obama's chance of winning the election is at 81.9%. the highest of this campaign cycle. joy reid, i will bet you $10,000 that we are going to see a piece of that secret tape, about the 47% in most of the obama and team obama campaign ads for the rest of the way. >> it is going to be...
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in a fox news poll, president obama leads by seven points. a "washington post" poll puts the president up by eight points in ohio. and the most recent poll by cbs and "the new york times" has president obama leading by ten points. romney was in ohio today, making a new pitc voters. he's the guy who understands their pain. >> there are so many in our country that are hurting right now. i want to help them. i know what it takes to get an economy going again and creating jobs. >> voters in ohio don't believe romney on this front at all. wht cos to the enomy 51 ovo she trust president obama against 45% of voters who trust mitt romney. obama has an advantage on the economy in ohio, because basically, this state is a national success story when it comes to the economy. sten to mitt romney's ohio surrogate, governor hn kasich. doesn't sound like there's much reason for ohio voters to make a change. >> you know, i hope you all know that ohio's coming back from 48th in job creation to number four, number one in the midwest. from 89 nts and a rainy y f
in a fox news poll, president obama leads by seven points. a "washington post" poll puts the president up by eight points in ohio. and the most recent poll by cbs and "the new york times" has president obama leading by ten points. romney was in ohio today, making a new pitc voters. he's the guy who understands their pain. >> there are so many in our country that are hurting right now. i want to help them. i know what it takes to get an economy going again and creating...
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Sep 27, 2012
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they have all these polls with obama running away with this. people blow a gasket on the left if romney wins. they're also early voting going on right now. we know that this stuff is not reported to reflect opinion, they're trying to shape opinion with these polls. >> greta: is rush right? are these polls slanted toward democrats and toward president obama? let's bring in our expert panel. steve, first to you. number one, are the polls slanted in number two, the second part of the question, does that suppress the vote? >> look, i think if you're just looking at "the new york times"/cbs poll, you believe everything you see in the polling of florida and ohio today, the results that came out today, yes, i think they oversampled democrats. i don't think there's any question about it. it would mean a record turnout in those states to produce the kinds of results we saw. now that doesn't mean these polls are useless. if there's consistent oversampling inside a poll, like the cbs/"new york times" poll has been, plus eight or nine for democrats, so you
they have all these polls with obama running away with this. people blow a gasket on the left if romney wins. they're also early voting going on right now. we know that this stuff is not reported to reflect opinion, they're trying to shape opinion with these polls. >> greta: is rush right? are these polls slanted toward democrats and toward president obama? let's bring in our expert panel. steve, first to you. number one, are the polls slanted in number two, the second part of the...
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that whites in rural america prefer iranian president mahmoud ahmadinejad to president obama. >>> and an iranian cameraman who went to the united nations in new york with president ahmadinejad has defected. he is seeking asylum in the united states. >>> japan was hit by a typhoon, which was strong enough to overturn vehicles on the island of okinawa. more than 140 people were injured and tens of thousands lost electrical power. >>> and a painting by renoir worth up to $100,000 was bought at a flea market for 7 bucks. an auction of the painting was stopped on saturday. a woman from virginia bought the landscape on the banks of the seine mostly for the frame. the painting was stolen from a museum in baltimore in 1951. it was worth $100,000. >>> and now here's your "first look" at this morning's dish of scrambled politics. mitt romney has an op-ed in the "wall street journal" on foreign policy. mr. romney says allowing iran to build a nuclear weapon is unacceptable. president obama also says the u.s. goal is preventing iran from having an atomic bomb. >>> paul ryan told fox news he and m
that whites in rural america prefer iranian president mahmoud ahmadinejad to president obama. >>> and an iranian cameraman who went to the united nations in new york with president ahmadinejad has defected. he is seeking asylum in the united states. >>> japan was hit by a typhoon, which was strong enough to overturn vehicles on the island of okinawa. more than 140 people were injured and tens of thousands lost electrical power. >>> and a painting by renoir worth up to...
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in ohio last week, we had cbs/"new york times" poll saying ten points for obama. and a columbus dispatch poll saying nine points. frank newport the head of the gallup organization had a blog posting that was revealing. he said you have to subject the state polls to the judgment of experience. he said for example, take ohio. the president won there by less than five points last time around. this time around, the poll that said he is winning by ten, does it make sense he would do twice as well, the margin is twice as big this time around than it was in 2008 when everybody is pointing to closer election than in 2008. of course not. it doesn't make sense. take this with the nevada and ohio shifts because of outlier polls. p.p.p. interestingly enough had a poll that was the outlier in nevada, plus nine for obama. then two polls in ohio. as a result they move it across the line from tossup to lean obama. i would say this, though. step back just a little bit and look at the arch since april. president obama has gone from 220 solid states, electoral college votes to 196 t
in ohio last week, we had cbs/"new york times" poll saying ten points for obama. and a columbus dispatch poll saying nine points. frank newport the head of the gallup organization had a blog posting that was revealing. he said you have to subject the state polls to the judgment of experience. he said for example, take ohio. the president won there by less than five points last time around. this time around, the poll that said he is winning by ten, does it make sense he would do twice...
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with polls now showing president obama building a lead over mitt romney in key battleground states, a democratic pollster and consultant who worked for jimmy carter says finding the right sample to survey can be tricky. >> we know from the exit polls and others, the republicans tend to respond to these polls less than oftentimes, particularly from news organizations, less than do democrats. >> in 1988, george bush managed a huge swing. gallup had michael dukakis leading by 17 points after the democratic convention, but lost to bush by 7.5%. in 1992, the incumbent president was down nine points in mid-september, tied with bill clinton by the end of october, though clinton eventually won. a former clinton pollster is questioning the assumptions being made in today's polls. >> these polls are assuming that you have the same high level of african american, latino, and young people vote in 2012 that you had in 2008. >> obama campaign senior advisor david axelrod told fox, "public polls are widely variant in their sampling and methodology so it's hard to case when they all point in one dire
with polls now showing president obama building a lead over mitt romney in key battleground states, a democratic pollster and consultant who worked for jimmy carter says finding the right sample to survey can be tricky. >> we know from the exit polls and others, the republicans tend to respond to these polls less than oftentimes, particularly from news organizations, less than do democrats. >> in 1988, george bush managed a huge swing. gallup had michael dukakis leading by 17 points...
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Sep 27, 2012
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new polls show president obama ten points up now on mitt rolled romney in ohio. that is key battleground state. he has moved into the leans to obama column. that gives him 255 electoral votes. 270 are needed to win. both candidates campaigned in the buckeye state today. the president seized on the momentum linking romney to his comments that 47% of americans are victims who depend on the government. >> i don't believe we can get very far with leaders who write off half the nation as a bunch of victims that never take responsibility for their own lives. as i travel around ohio and look out, i don't see a lot of victims. i see hard working ohioans. >> near cleveland, romney tried to repair the damage from his comments. he expressed empathy for out of work americans and claimed his policies would help them get back to work. >> when you cut through the words, you can look at the record. when you see policies that have not created the jobs america needs, you know it's time to choose a new leader, get a new coach, get america growing again. >> history says ohio is must
new polls show president obama ten points up now on mitt rolled romney in ohio. that is key battleground state. he has moved into the leans to obama column. that gives him 255 electoral votes. 270 are needed to win. both candidates campaigned in the buckeye state today. the president seized on the momentum linking romney to his comments that 47% of americans are victims who depend on the government. >> i don't believe we can get very far with leaders who write off half the nation as a...
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in pennsylvania, that poll has president obama up by 12 ints. lolls that have the margins slightly smaller in pennsylvania and florida today, but those other polls also show president obama winning in the swing states. a new ppp poll in iowa today shows president obama leading in iowa by seven points. lohowing president obama leading in colorado by four points. nationally, president obama has seen his lead rebound in recent days. in the gallup daily tracking point, he initially got a six-point bounce out of the democratic convention. that lead evaporated in the days that foowed but n as you can see, president obama has regained that six-point lead as if he just did the conventions all over again. with just 41 days left until the election, a snapshot of the race is very clear. in fact, we do these polls every day and 's almost starting to seem static atherential le thswstpot w do every day, pretty much the map always look like this. president obama leading in all of the swing states or at least leading in almost all of them. a standard caveat, of
in pennsylvania, that poll has president obama up by 12 ints. lolls that have the margins slightly smaller in pennsylvania and florida today, but those other polls also show president obama winning in the swing states. a new ppp poll in iowa today shows president obama leading in iowa by seven points. lohowing president obama leading in colorado by four points. nationally, president obama has seen his lead rebound in recent days. in the gallup daily tracking point, he initially got a six-point...
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and saying in this latest poll obama is up by 7 in iowa. i wonder if he'll hold on to that lead until election day. but now you look at the polling in iowa and say obama is up by 7 in iowa and people are voting in iowa as of this week. with early voting, every day from now until november 6th is election day. that not only saps some of the value out of the debates, which start next week, it also undercuts the potential potent si of october surprise. in the associated press write up of this early voting phenomenon this year, the write up, they quote a professor who is an expert on election statistics. if you have the game changer, you've got to do that soon. if you wait until the weekend prior to the election to release your stink bomb, you've lost coloradans, and he's right. that's one of the battleground states where most ballots are expected to be cast early. by election day, colorado will already be mostly decided. so if you're losing today, at this point in the campaign, hurry up and fix it. mitt romney's campaign adviser said back in ma
and saying in this latest poll obama is up by 7 in iowa. i wonder if he'll hold on to that lead until election day. but now you look at the polling in iowa and say obama is up by 7 in iowa and people are voting in iowa as of this week. with early voting, every day from now until november 6th is election day. that not only saps some of the value out of the debates, which start next week, it also undercuts the potential potent si of october surprise. in the associated press write up of this early...